Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004049 0.004442 0.004864 0.005351 0.005901 0.006504 0.007218
2025-08-31 0.003306 0.003833 0.004439 0.005194 0.006114 0.007211 0.008630
2025-09-07 0.002936 0.003529 0.004244 0.005178 0.006383 0.007906 0.010009
2025-09-14 0.002744 0.003399 0.004217 0.005334 0.006845 0.008855 0.011801
2025-09-21 0.002496 0.003163 0.004023 0.005236 0.006940 0.009306 0.012950
2025-09-28 0.002293 0.002963 0.003850 0.005138 0.007009 0.009708 0.014057
2025-10-05 0.002152 0.002833 0.003756 0.005133 0.007198 0.010289 0.015499
2025-10-12 0.002063 0.002765 0.003737 0.005228 0.007536 0.011123 0.017450
2025-10-19 0.001938 0.002634 0.003619 0.005161 0.007615 0.011551 0.018770
2025-10-26 0.001840 0.002536 0.003539 0.005144 0.007764 0.012100 0.020373
2025-11-02 0.001737 0.002424 0.003428 0.005067 0.007806 0.012467 0.021689
2025-11-09 0.001672 0.002363 0.003390 0.005101 0.008031 0.013173 0.023754
2025-11-16 0.001588 0.002270 0.003302 0.005053 0.008124 0.013673 0.025546
2025-11-23 0.001487 0.002148 0.003160 0.004906 0.008032 0.013828 0.026657
2025-11-30 0.001424 0.002080 0.003100 0.004892 0.008175 0.014443 0.028877
2025-12-07 0.001399 0.002070 0.003132 0.005037 0.008626 0.015719 0.032858
2025-12-14 0.001330 0.001985 0.003034 0.004946 0.008616 0.016051 0.034650
2025-12-21 0.001266 0.001905 0.002941 0.004854 0.008596 0.016359 0.036442
2025-12-28 0.001222 0.001856 0.002896 0.004849 0.008747 0.017053 0.039390
2026-01-04 0.001197 0.001837 0.002902 0.004938 0.009096 0.018237 0.043953
2026-01-11 0.001149 0.001777 0.002832 0.004876 0.009124 0.018683 0.046521
2026-01-18 0.001111 0.001732 0.002788 0.004859 0.009247 0.019370 0.049978
2026-01-25 0.001068 0.001675 0.002718 0.004788 0.009243 0.019746 0.052561